Saturday, October 6, 2012

Why the Bills can beat the 49ers

by Steve

Well, not win, but ya know, cover the 9.5.  The Buffalo Bills can stick with the San Francisco 49ers for multiple reasons albeit there are more than a couple reasons why they can't.  I'll be Mr. Brightside and ignore those for today though.

Alex Smith is not a very good quarterback. He does what he is asked to do, retain possession of the rock by limiting mistakes.  That is evidenced by his mediocre numbers (averaging 196 passing yards his last 20 games) except for interceptions, six in 20 games! Ryan Fitz-noodle-arm Fitzpatrick can do that in one game.  Still, the guy is no Tom Brady.

Before the 49ers got to play a team in complete meltdown mode (J-E-T-S) they were allowing an average of 22 points a game. Granted there are more points in the NFL these days but that doesn't sound elite to me.  Score 24 points and it is a guaranteed cover.

Yes, the 49ers are a great rushing team but the Bills have a pretty good run defense when they're actually in their base as opposed to the nickle that got shredded by the Patriots last week.  I may have rose colored glasses on here but last week was more of a fluke than anything.  Well, not a fluke in that the Patriots ALWAYS shred the Bills defense.  So the nearly 300 yards rushing was an aberration.  Look for the run defense to be much more effective tomorrow.

Some quick hits:
  • Spiller and Fred Jackson are healthier than last week
  • Mario Williams probably can't play any worse 
  • Stevie Johnson is in his home town and will look to ball
  • It is the NFL so anything (except us making the playoffs) is possible
  •  The Bills last west coast victory came against this same franchise wayyy back in 2004.
  • The 49ers defense is only 6th against the run
  • SF could be overlooking the Bills with a HUGE rematch game against the NY Giants looming next week.
  • the Bills are do?

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