Friday, March 13, 2015

REACTION: Bills sign Percy Harvin

By Steve

A one year deal for Percy Harvin is palatable even if he is an asshole. The money is yet unknow but my guess is something like $3.5 million with incentives.

Ha per http://t.co/JXOZaOk4Qi Percy Harvin still counts 6.47 mil against the Jets cap this season after his 6 year $64 million deal with seattle 2 years ago. Thus I think he'll come some what cheap.

Granted Harvin hasn't produced much since then (20 starts and only 6 TDs in the last 3 seasons total) but thats he beauty of a 1 year deal.

This is a prove it contract clearly. He is only 26 and has already flamed out with THREE teams. So presumably he'll be on his best behavior in hopes of another big contract next year.

The way that the Bills will use Harvin is the most interesting aspect of this move. Im thinking Randell Cobb esque. He is an inch taller and at least as fast. Does Greg Roman have any idea what he's doing?

All in all im coming around on this move. Low risk high reward unless the Bills way over paid. The guy is a locker room cancer ALLEGEDLY but again should have incentive to stfu and be a good soldier. We'll see but lets hope this doesnt take away touches from Sam Watkins and instead augments his production by causing havoc over the middle.

Saturday, March 7, 2015

The Bills and Free Agency

By steve

Free agency in the NFL starts today errr last week err officially this Tuesday. The Bills have a lot of holes and something like $15 million to spend. Basically one big move or 3-4 medium sized moves. Wait, still with me?

Bills needs:
1. Tight end
2. Guard
3. Defensive end
4. Safety
5. Linebacker
6. Wide Receiver

The biggest question (besides why the hell would you TRADE for a shitty back up QB) is whether or not you resign Jerry Hughes. The answer is clear, maybe.

Will he take 5 years $44 million? He made his name in Buffalo after being cast off as a bust in a trade from Indy but this is his one BIG pay day. There is no reason for him to sign with the Bills before Tuesday. My guess is some team will over pay him. Oh well, find another DE for half the price and 70% of his production, isn't that why you have Rex Ryan?

The Bills should pursue one of the big free agent tightends. Julius Thomas might be a product of a great offense and will be expen$ive. But there are a few TEs right below him that will be worth pursuing. Will Jordan Cameron be cheap, Gresham might be a target.

No need to spend a lot of money on a guard like Mike Iupati. How did it work out for the Titans when they overpaid Andy Levitre? I can't tell you who to sign but only adding Incognito isn't satisfactory.

How about Derrick Morgan, Hakeem Nicks and Antrelle Rolle? I would have also went after Jake Locker instead of giving up anything just to trade for Matt Cassel but oh well.

This team needs some veterans that have won before. A cage cheap ol' vet or two will be worth it. Isnt Rex a players coach and a guy that players want to play for? We'll see.

Oh and not resigning Da'norris Searcy last season was a mistake. Now he's gonna get paid!

Tuesday, March 3, 2015

REACTION: Bills Trade Kiko Alonso for Shady McCoy

By Steve

The Bills traded 3rd year linebacker Kiko Alonso straight up for running back Lesean McCoy. On paper it is a meaningless position for a meaningless. But in reality it is very interesting.

There are a few pros and cons to this trade so lets break it down from the Bills perspective:

Naturally Im starting with the cons.

1. Shady is a malcontent. He is a weird dude and (like every player ever) is pissed about being traded to the Bills.  There are already rumors he wont report or will want a contract extention. IF ANYTHING THE BILLS WILL WANT A RESTRUCTURE.

2. Shady has a cap hit of $10 mil this year ($7.2 in 2016 and $7.9 in 2017). Any team paying this much to a running back is obsurd. It was a clear salary dump by the Eagles.

3. McCoy is on the wrong side of 26. Statistically, running backs begin to fall off a cliff after 26. Not to mention he only had 5 TDs last year and averaged 4.2 yards per carry. Ouch.

4. Chip Kelly is more successful and smarter than anyone currently employed by the Bills. Who do you give the benefit of the doubt to... Chip or Doug Whaley, Russ Brandon and Rex Ryan. Really?

5. Kiko Alonso is young, cheap, had a great rookie season and was a fan favorite. Yes he is replaceable but he was a play maker at LB right away which is not easy.

Okokok lets look at the Pros

1. Shady is a playmaker. He is one of the more dynamic players in the NFL. He is confident, shifty and explosive. And he doesnt have asshat loser coaches Marrone and Hackett to bring him down.

2. The Bills wont overdraft a RB in the draft this year. Running backs are a dime a dozen and drafting one in the 2nd round was my nightmare.

3. It fills a "need". Lol just kidding why did the Bills use a 4th round draft pick on Bryce Brown last year?

4. The Bills can easily replace Kiko Alonso who allegedly wanted out of Buffalo any way. The Bills had a great defense last year without the twice ACL torn ILB and dont have to worry about those rickity knees any longer. What are they really losing out on?

Bottom line is this. If Shady is ready to play here then it will be a good-ish trade. The money is way too much but the talent is there. The Bills had cap space and needed a running back with a glut of talent at LB. Just dont piss Shady off.

Wednesday, February 11, 2015

Sabres Make Huge Trade

To Jets: Myers, Stafford, Armia, Lemieux, 1st Rd
To Sabres: Kane, Bogosian, Kasdorf per @DarrenDreger

Zach Bogosian a former 3rd overall defenseman seems to be a bit of a bust but if the Sabres are already moving on from Myers evidently he us a but of a bust too. The center piece is if Kane will want to play here and not be a dick bag and if young Chaude's kid turns out. Armia has been talked about for ever..

Monday, February 9, 2015

Everyone Knows It's Richie Parody Song

Ha us Bills fans can enjoy this old diddy from the Dan leBatard show about richie incognito.. "who stole my wife and broke my new glasses.. everyone's its Richie!"

https://m.soundcloud.com/gavingrace/richie-incognito-song

Sunday, February 1, 2015

Super Bowl Picks

 The grand finale with first place still on the line!!!

Steve 50-45-2 Best Bet 10-10 Playoffs 8-4

Seahawks +1 v Patriots
Seahawks v Patriots over  47
Marshawn Lynch over 90.5 rushing yards


Wreck 57-36-2 Best Bet 11-8-1 Playoffs 8-4

Patriots -1 v Seahawks
Seahawks v Patriots over  47
Tom Brady under 24.5 completions

Coast 56-38-2 Best Bet 12-8 Playoffs 8-4

Patriots -1 v Seahawks
Seahawks v Patriots over  47
No points first 5.5 minutes


Katman 46-49-2 Best Bet 9-11 Playoffs 3-9

Seahawks +1 v Patriots

Thursday, January 29, 2015

Super Bowl Gambling: The Prop Bets

by Steve

Since the Buffalo Bills will never make the playoffs, let alone make another Super Bowl, and the only thing we Bills fans have to do is root against the cheating cheater New England Patriots we have to gamble on the Super Bowl (run on sentence?).  We all know the game is a pick 'em and the over under is 50.  Everyone already bought some luck-of-the-draw SB squares.  Duh that shits easy.  So instead lets get into the nuanced art of PROP BETS!  Everyone loves a good proper.  Here are some of my favorites:

(all odds taken from oddsmaker.ag)

R Gronkowski Longest Reception over 22.5 (-135)
Not the best payout but Gronk is gonna get a 24 yard catch before busting out both knees while his back (again) cracks in half from a nice hit by Kam Chancellor right?

Longest Made Field Goal of the Game (NO FG-NO ACTION)  over 44.5 (-120)
I see Petey lookin for a quick 3 point lead in this game going for a 46 yard field goal.  As a Bills fan would it be shocking to not see a 47 yarder on natural grass?

Will the game be Decided by Exactly 3 Points yes (+300)
Don't the Patriots always only win Super Bowls by 3 points?  Then again they probably won't win so maybe this isn't a great bet hmm..

Will the New England Patriots Successfully Convert a 4th Down? Yes (+130)
This seems like the lock of the year.  Doesn't Tommy small balls make a short 4th and 1 every god damn game seemingly?

Will the 1st Quarter end in a tie? Yes (+300)
Kind of a stupid one but I like the payout and the chances especially if there isn't some dumb safety or something on the first play from scrimmage.

LeGarrette Blount - Total Rushing Yards - Must Play over 62.5 (even)
Initially I was going to go under all day because Belicheat always does a switcharoo when they game plan but the line may have reflected that idea, plus the payout is better.  Moreover I think the Patriots will be fumbling the ball all over the place with fully inflated balls.

Rob Gronkowski - Total Receiving Yards - Must Play over (+110)
Not sure if I actually like this line or not but the over pay out is much higher than I thought it would be.  He didn't go over vs the Colts but that game was over after the muffed fumble so why not pound the ball to this big dumb dufus.

Russell Wilson - Will He Throw an Interception yes (-160)
Bad payout but I can't imagine this guy not throwing a pick, didn't he throw 4 two weeks ago? Patriots have a pretty good secondary.

Marshawn Lynch - Total Rushing Yards over 88.5 (-130)
Bang this one.  The Seahawks down 15 points were STILL running the ball last game and that was with four freaking minutes left (then again Russ Wilson was probably concussed and had no clue what was going on).  Still, the century mark for Beeshmo is expected.

Marshawn Lynch - Total Receptions over 2.5 (even)
Beeshmo has had three or more receptions three times this season out of 18 games.  He had three against the Panthers and only one against the Packers albeit a huge one near the end of the game.


Later in the week the whole staff will have their picks against the spread the over under and maybe an additional prop or too. Yes, we know this is the last football gambling for a long time and that is depressing but at least we still have The Sports Geek for the rest of our gambling until football returns in August.  And on the way out bang TAILS on the coin flip -105 all hail the tail!