Week 4 Picks ATS

-Coast

For the first time this season, I will be picking all the games against the spread...including what I feel are the locks of the week...Guaranteed 75% correct with my locks or else your money back. Really though, free gambling advice (not that we promote gambling) but if you bet on these games you will make money...

Locks

Buffalo (-9) vs. Oakland

• Call me a homer but the Bills laying 9 vs. the Raiders is just easy money. McFadden is banged up, Fargas is injured...the Bills may see a heavy dose of Michael Bush on Sunday. Jamarcus Russel completed 4 passes against the Chiefs and the Raider defense looked embarrassing opening day (you can't count how their D played against Tyler Thigpen). Also, the Raiders have a lame duck coach pretty much who could get fired at any time before or during the game. There will be more excitment at the Ralph than there has been in years with the Bills at 2-0...Russel will be like a deer in headlights...if the Bills don't win this game by double digits I will be shocked.

St. Louis (+9.5) at Seattle

• Yeah I know the Rams are pathetic, but they were called out by their owner this week so they will be playing desperate football. They will have the best player on the field in Steven Jackson. The Seahawks are literally holding try outs for people off the street to play wide receiver. They will be hanging their hates on Koren Robinson for the near future. The Hawks are real bad and shouldn't be giving 9.5 to anyone...Rams could win outright but I will take the points for sure.

Not Locks but I like these games a lot

Cleveland (+2) at Baltimore

• The Browns can't be bad enough to be getting points against Joe Flacco. Yeah they have looked pathetic in weeks 1 and 2 but have played the Steelers and Cowboys. The Browns are in a must win situation and realize that. They should win the game outright and I don't really know why they are getting points. The Ravens are bad on offense and old on defense and their coach is John Harbaugh.

San Diego (-9) vs. NYJ

• The Jets are way overrated, the Chargers should be 2-0 and are at home and are pissed off and desperate. This game could get really ugly. San Diego knows they can't afford to go to 0-3 with Denver playing well so they will be ready and will win by double digits.

Detroit (+4) at San Fran

• Detroit has too much offensive fire power to be getting 4 points in this game. They are desperate for a win and were in the lead late vs. the Packers before blowing it big time. The 49ers are terrible too...JT O'Sullivan?

Arizona (+3) at Washington

• Big win for the Redskins last week, but I think the Cardinals may be solid this year for real. Their defense has only allowed 16 points this year (yeah I know who they played...Miami and the 49ers) but they have so many weapons on offense. I don't think Washington is that good after their performance opening day and I am not sold on the Saints...I think 2006 may have been more of the exception than the rule. I like the Cards in an upset I guess in DC.
  

The Rest of the Games...I wouldn't bet on these

• Chiefs (+5.5) at Atlanta
• Tennessee (-4.5) vs. Houston
• Bengals (+13) at Giants
• Miami (+12.5) at Patriots
• Chicago (-3) vs. Tampa Bay
  
• Minnesota (-3.5) vs. Carolina
• Denver (-5) vs. New Orleans
• Eagles (-3.5) vs. Pittsburgh
• Jacksonville (+5) at Indianapolis
• Green Bay (+3) vs. Dallas