by Steve
As per usual, the Bills draft at eleven. They are pretty much stuck in no mans land. Moving up into the top ten is too costly and moving back into the late teens or twenties is difficult. Getting an impact player is a must yet not a guarantee. There aren't that many players after the first few picks that any team really will want to make a play for. Possibly Sanchez who most likely won't be around at 11 and Andre Smith who also may not be there at eleven, so lets just assume the Bills are staying at eleven..
The Bills are going either Brandon Pettigrew or defense. If the Bills go Brandon Pettigrew at eleven shit is going to be broken. Going offense in the first round (pretty much any round) of the draft is idiotic. Defense wins football games as we all know. No one ever said offense wins championships UNLESS you have the best QB in the game and an amazing o-line.
It is a 95% guarantee that Brandon Pettigrew does not make the Bills that much better (and by that much I mean create a dynamic offense that can not only take over games but dominate them) The reason for this is simple. The offensive line is slightly above average and the QB is below average. Adding a rookie tight end will not make Edwards a superstar.
Pettigrew is pretty much a blocking tight end. He didn't even have a touchdown in 2008! He has nine total in his career. True Zac Robinson is no Tim Tebow (haha) but he is a serviceable quarterback. Ok st went 5-3 in the BIG 12, where was Pettigrew? Blocking.
He's twenty-four already, how'd that happen. The dude just isn't a top 15 talent, he might not even be a first round talent. Look at wide receiver last year, none went in the first round that might be the case for tight ends this year. Every mock draft I have looked at has Pettigrew going no earlier than the early twenties. Just look at the last few tight ends to get selected in the first round since 2005. Only one guy taken before the 27th pick and he is largely thought of as a bust. Only one had more than 40 catches his rookie year and only one had more than 3 touchdowns his first season..
Mercedes Lewis (28th 5 TDs in three seasons, 13 catches rookie year)
Vernon Davis (6th 9 Tds in three seasons, 20 catches 3 touchdowns rookie year)
Greg Olsen (31st 7 TDs in two seasons, 39 catches 2 touchdowns rookie year)
Dustin Keller (30th 3 TDs and 48 catches rookie year)
Heath Miller (30th 21 TDs in four seasons, 39 catches 6 touchdowns rookie year)
I am writing this because before today it seemed like there was no need to rip apart Pettigrew. That is before today when Modrak and co. were slurping the one time cop puncher who was charged with a felony. They were defending his actions sounding more like an agent errr a GM ready to draft the kid. God I hope not.
More breakdowns in the days ahead..
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
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