Friday, January 14, 2011

NFL 2011 divisional round locks

Staff selections for the second best weekend in the football season, the Divisional round. Mind you these selections are for gambling purposes and should not be used solely for amusement.

T-wreck
(his picks are in order of "lockness")

New York Jets +9 @ New England Patriots
Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5
Green Bay Packers @ Atlanta Falcons -2
Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears -10


Steve


New York Jets @ New England Patriots -9
The Patriots are the obvious choice here. When it is obvious it is almost never right but Rex Ryan is not a good football coach. He is a great motivator and can inspire players but that only goes so far. He knows defense but lost by what 42 in Foxoboro a month ago?

Baltimore Ravens +3.5@ Pittsburgh Steelers
Ben Rapelisraper isn't 100%. The time off may have helped but this team just doesn't seem to have it. Maybe it is good receivers, maybe it is the fact that the Bills should have beat them (then again they should have beaten the Ravens too) I don't know. Flacco scares the shit out of me but his WRs are studs. Don't sleep on Ray Rice either.

Green Bay Packers @ Atlanta Falcons -2
Ha Aaron Rodgers. He did all he could to lose that game last week fumbling the ball away and taking the second half off. Too bad Vick and Da'sean weren't healthy, that game wouldn't have been close. Roid Matthews is a straight stud but is well nevermind he's just a stud. My boy Starks was more of an aberration last week then anything else although he is still better than Spiller. Matty Ice and co aren't one and done book it better yet bet it.

Seattle Seahawks +10 @ Chicago Bears
I only went 2-2 last week because I hate the Jets and was blind with my hatred of Rodgers. I didn't see the hobbled Eagles staring me in the face. They were a good team that peaked 3 weeks ago. But I was alllll over Seattle, it was EASY money I was one of the only people loving them from the get go. The Bears are some how overrated and underrated but this line at 10 is wayyy too high. Hasselback played like it was 2005 bro, he's back baby. Steal these points and the money, 'hawks! Lynch! cover!

Coast

Ok-enough of these amateur hour picks you have read until this point. I went 3-1 last week and only lost one because I underestimated how lost Jim Caldwell and really the entire Colts team is besides Manning. Here's the picks:

Pittsburgh -3 vs. Baltimore: This line could likely move to 3.5 by kickoff with the Steelers at -120, but I like the Steelers regardless. Big Ben vs. Joe Flacco in January? The Steelers are well rested after a week off and will beat up the Ravens, whose defense is old and not even close to as good as it once was. We all saw that week 6 performance by Fitzpatrick. Ray Rice is the Ravens only hope...only problem for Baltimore is the Steeler D allowed 62.8 yards per game on the ground. The Steelers will pull away in the 4th quarter...prediction: Pittsburgh 27 Baltimore 13.

Green Bay Packers +1.5 @ Hotlanta: I have no idea why this line is only 1.5. The Falcons were 13-3, the best team in the NFC all season and yet are only 1.5 point favorites at home against the Packers. That said, I LOVE GREEN BAY. Every year it seems a wildcard team is making a run to the Super Bowl and this year it is going to be Green Bay. Matty Ice is a bum while Aaron Rodgers is the best QB left in the playoffs including Brady. Pack by 22...34-12.

Seattle Seahawks +10 @ Chicago: Gotta ride Lynch all the way to Dallas. Marshawn and the Seahawks can be one of the greatest stories in NFL history. It helps that they are playing Chicago and Jay Cutler who has never won a playoff game, throws more interceptions than touchdowns, gets sacked more than any QB in the league and fumbles more than any QB in the league. Pressure Cutler and he could cough up the football more than once. Seattle hosting the NFC championship game? 'Hawks 24 bears 23.

New England Patriots -9 vs. Jets: Somehow, I see myself rooting for New England in this game. I hate both of these teams but this Jets team and their arrogance is too much for me to handle. How do you talk trash when the last time you played a team you got curb stomped 45-3. Patriots in a blowout...38-10.


3 comments:

  1. Solid 0 for 2 so far for Janis. But seriously man, keep dogging Aaron Rodgers. He sucks, right? Pack should never have let Brohm get away.

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  2. one lucky game and rodgers is montana? i thought tom brady was the best there ever was too. he is now what 4-5 in his last 9 playoff games? 2 straight L's at home? stfu 0-4 is bad but i got no bounces

    -steve

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