Tuesday, October 20, 2009

Week 7 NFL lines

by Steve

It is never too early in the week to start looking at week 7 NFL lines for sports betting. True the Bills line is still off because of Trent Edwards uncertainty but it is most likely +7.5 or so. There are a few ways to look at these things. Straight against the spread, the over/under, parlays, teasers, and progressive parlays.

It's always a good idea to consult with NFL Expert Picks to get differing opinions and insider information you may have overlooked. Most of the time you gotta go on instincts and trends. Never bet on your team just because they're your team. Betting against the spread is a risky proposition. Injuries, the juice, and the weather play more against the spread than anything else. Case in point the Jets game last week.

For the smart money, especially in the NFL this season with the numerous awful teams and plentiful great teams, go with the three team teaser. Who wouldn't like Colts -7.5 @ Rams, Packers -1 @ Browns and Pats -9 against the Bucs (on a neutral field)? Or the 4 o'clock games. Raiders +12 at home vs Jets, Saints -.5 @ Dolphins and Falcons +10 @ Cowboys?

Progressive parlays aren't for everyone and aren't even offered on a lot of places so we won't even break those down much today. The other option at this point is over/unders. These can also be affected by numerous intangibles but if you do your homework they are probably the most predictable bet in the game. Furthermore, when in doubt take the over especially in prime time games when the players are more amped.

Right now the Bills look awful but they have put up two wins, same number as the Panthers. Is a Delhomme quarterbacked team really worth -7.5 points on any field? And we all know the huge contingent of ex Buffalonians in the 'research triangle'. There might be 20,000 Bills fans there. Bills are the lock of the week.

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