Week 4 NFL Picks

week four leggo

Steve

Texans -5 v Panthers
Colts -6.5 v Raiders
Ravens -7 v Browns
Rams -9 v Buccs

Coast
Ravens -7, Dallas -2.5, Carolina +5, kc -7

Feyes

Ravens -7
Chargers -14.5
Cowboys -2.5
Jags +3

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Podcast Preview

Steve, Coast and Wreck review the Bengals come from behind victory and breakdown the upcoming monster of a game between the Patriots and Bills in Orchard Park.

Look for us on iTunes, subscribe rate and review



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Patriots at Bills Preview: Stats

by Steve

Strap it in, the undefeated New England Patriots visit the undefeated Buffalo Bills Sunday to compete for a 4-0 record and a stranglehold on the division. Do the Bills have a chance?

Lets take a look:

Under Sean McDermott the Bills are 0-4 straight up and 1-3 against the spread.  In those four games the average score was 9 to 27.

At home the Bills have been even worse than at New England. In Buffalo McDerr and the Bills have averaged 5 points. FIVE. They lost on 12/3/17 in an ugly game 23 to 3 with Tyrod Taylor going for 9-18 65 yards 0 TD 1 INT. Last season ( on MNF) Daboll and his crew managed to put up 6 points and lost 25-6 (not coming close to covering the +13.5). In this one to be fair Derek Anderson and Nathan Peterman played.

The only time McDerr and the Bills covered was when Josh Allen started, 12/23/18 in a 24-12 lost. They were getting 13.5 again that day and barely squeaked out the cover. Allen went 20-41 217 1 TD 2 INT. The other game 12/24/17 the Bills lost 37-16 and were +11 at kick off.

To recap, under McDermott the Bills have lost by an average of 27-9. The most they have scored in the four games is 16 points and have only put up 3 and 6 points at home. The five prior seasons the Bills scored 25, 32, 22, 21 and 28 points against New England in Buffalo.

Clearly, McDerr's plan of slow down the game and lose in a boring low scoring game has not worked. Look for more of the same Sunday.

Defense

Lets take a look at the defensive stats.

The problem over the last two years of McDerr vs the Patriots isnt so much the passing game as the running game.

Tawmmy Brady has thrown for 244, 218, 311 and 117 net yards in those four games. He is averaging 223 yards per game, which is actually pretty respectable. Although, the Bills defense allowed an average of 231 yards pssing per game in 2017 and 179 yard passing per game in 2018.

Against the run is a different story. The cheatriots have ran for 191, 193, 76 and 273 yard in those four games. They have averaged 183 yards on the ground.

As a team the Bills allowed an average of 125 yards rushing per game in 2017 and 115 yards rushing per game in 2018. Clearly they are giving up WELL above their averaging in rushing yards and

BREAKING: Bills Extend Beer Sales Through 3rd Quarter

by steve

Through anecdotal evidence and personal testimony it has been discovered that beer sales at Buffalo Bills game has been extended.

As we all know, Bills fans are drunks. The team has been awful for 20+ years and paying attention to most games past half time is usually impossible. But luckily the Bills, in an unending desire for more revenue have extended beer sales until the end if the third quarter.

This is a fairly big departure from their long standing policy of beer sales at the end of half time. No where on the Bills site or the New Era Field site is this mentioned any where. Clearly this is a hush hush policy change.

Enjoy.

week 3 nfl picks

cash cash cash

steve 5-3

Eagles -6 v Lions
chiefs -5.5 v  Ravens
Bills -6 b Bengals
49ers -6.5 v Steelers

coast 5-3

rams -3.5 @ browns
Steelers +6.5 @ 49ers
saints +4.5 @ Seahawks
raiders +9 v Vikings

feyes 4-4

GB -7 v Broncos
Gmen +6 sBuccs
Texans @ charge O  49
Steelers +6.5 @ 49ers

Bengals at Bills Podcast Preview

Steve Coast and Wreck review the impressive victory at the Giants and look ahead to the Bills home opener against the Cincinnati Bengals. Easy win?



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Week 2 NFL Picks

Make money

Steve 1-3

Patriots @ Dolphins under 48.5
Jaguars +9 @ Texans
Packers -2.5 v Vikings
Rams -2 v Saints

Coast 2-2
Cardinals +13 @ Ravens
Jaguars +9 @ Texans
rams -2 v Saints
Jets + 6.5 v Browns

Feyes 2-2

Bills -2 @ Giants
Bengals pic v 49ers
Tenn -3.5 v Colts
Pats -19.5 @ Dolphins

Bills at Giants Podcast Preview

Steve Coast and Wreck breakdown the Jets come from behind victory and look ahead to the lowly New York Giants.  Is anyone scared of Pat Shurmer?

2019 Buffalo Bills Predictions

By Steve

Here our my final predictions for the Buffalo Bills 2019 season:

Leading rusher
Frank Gore 803 yards
(Josh Allen second)

Leading Receiver
Cole Beasley
68 catches 702 yards 3 TDs

Leading Sacker
Jerry Hughes 8.5

Josh Allen stats
2904 passing yards 15 TDs 11 INTs
55% completion
685 rushing yards 5 TDs

Schedule
@ Jets
Loss

@ Giants
Win

Bengals
Win

Patriots
Loss

@ Titans
Loss (flip from the podcast)

Miami
Win

Eagles
Loss

Redskins
Win

@ Browns
Loss

@ Dolphins
Win

Broncos
Win

@ Cowboys
Loss

Ravens
Win

@ Steelers
Loss

@ Cheatriots
Loss

Jets
Win

8-8

Week 1 Nfl Picks

Week 1 nfl picks contest

Steve
Eagles -10 vs Redskins
Jets -2.5 v Bills
Ravens -7 @ Dolphins
Falcons +3.5 @ Vikings

Coast

Ravens -7 @ Dolphins
giants +7.5 @ Cowboys
Steelers +5.5 @ Patriots
Redskins+10 @ Eagles

Feyes

Bills jets Under 40.5
Tenn Cleve Under 45
Colts +6.5 @ Chargers
Den -2.5 @ Raiders

2019 Over Under Win Total Predictions: AFC

By Steve

Here is our Bills season preview podcast, the NFC over under win predictions and the media predictions for the Bills, now the AFC over under win totals:

Baltimore Ravens
8.5
Not a Lamar Jackson believer
Under

Buffalo Bills
7
Going .500 this year seems quite possible with this schedule
Over

Cincinnati Bengals
6.5
Tough division leads me to believe someone had to be the ragdoll
Under

Cleveland Browns
9
Lol?
Under

Denver Broncos
7.5
Surprised at how high this number is. Flacco sucks but the rest of the team is good.
Under

Houston Texans
8.5
Easy
Over

Indianapolis Colts
7.5
What has Andrew Luck really ever done? Two great seasons and meh. But the shock could be daunting in the locker room.
Under

Jacksonville Jaguars
8.5
Do you believe in big dick Nick or not. Divison is tough and Marrone is full of bologna
Under

Kansas City Chiefs
10.5
Over

LA Chargers
9.5
Call me a hater but Anthony Lynn sucks
Under

Miami Dolphins
4.5
If I was guaranteed Fitzy would start 14+ games Id go over but they'll put Rosen in before Halloween
Under

New England Cheatriots
11.5
Twelve wins seems too easy.
Over

New York Jets
7.5
Why is this team automatically 4 wins better with a new (bad) coach and system for Darnold?
Under

Oakland Raiders
6
Push

Pittsburgh
9.5
Tomlin and Rapelisraper just win baby
Over

Tennessee Titans
8
Ugly
Over

2019 Buffalo Bills Podcast Season Preview

Year 11 of our podcast Steve and Coast preview the 2019 Bills, predict wins and losses for each game, review the offseason and break down the Jets.



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2019 Over Under NFL Win TotalS: NFC

By Steve

In our continuing 2019 NFL season preview here our my picks for over/under win totals for the NFC.

2019 Nation Media Bills Predictions

Win total predictions:

Arizona Cardinals
5.5

Kyler might prove me wrong but six wins seems like too many.
Under

Atlanta Falcons
8.5
Can a hangover last two years? Yup
Under

Carolina Panthers
8
A push is tempting here but why the hell is Cam Newton so damn polarizing?
Over

Chicago Bears
9.5
Mitchy is decent but the defense carried this team. Is that transferable from year to year?
Over

Dallas Cowboys
9
This team has talent but no leaders. The division isnt that tough
Over

Detroit Lions
6.5
The Belichick coaching tree must be made of Emerald Ash. Woof.
Under

Green Bay Packers
9.5
Getting rid of tubs Mccarthey should goose this number but a rookie coach trying to coach a persnickity legend? Could be trouble
Under

L A Rams
10.5
Teams typically struggle after losing the Super Bowl and Goff just got overpaid. But there is just something so dreamy about McVeay
Over

Minnesota Vikings
9.5
This team is as sad as the Bills with more tecent devastating losses. Im not banking on Cousins to win 10+
Gotta go under

New Orleans Saints
10.5
Is there a such thing as too much of a chip on your shoulder. I could see a play from last January haunting these dudes for a while still
Under

New York Giants
6
Does Manning last six games?
Push

Philadelphia Eagles
10.5
Again the division is pretty weak and the Eagles are well run.
Over

San Francisco 49ers
8.5
Most puzzlingly high number yet. What the hell has Garap won? Or jr Shanny for that matter?
Under

Seattle Seahawks
8.5
Out of these two West teams id much rather wager on a proven QB and coach.
Over

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
6.5
Addition by subtraction again by cutting Koetter but Rapeis Winston is still a bum and Arians seems like just another geriatric going to Florida to die.
Under

Washington Redskins
6.5
Do these people have a redeeming quality?
Under

2019 Buffalo Bills Preview: National Media Predictions

By Steve

Here is a compilation of national media predictions for the 2019 Buffalo Bills.

538 - ELO 
Odds the Bills make the playoffs, 30%. Odds the Bills win the division, 15%.
(This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season)

Buffalo News
Vic Carucci 9-7
Predicts Josh Allen will throw 18 TDs
Mark Gaughan 9-7
Predicts Allen throws 22 TDs
Jay Skurski 10-6
Predicts Allen throws 23 TDs
Milt Northrop 7-9
Jason Wolf 7-9

PFT
None of their 6 writers has the Bills making the playoffs "20. Bills (No. 21): Either the Jets or the Bills will contend for an AFC wild-card spot; on Sunday, one of them gets a leg up in their head-to-head competition"

Las Vegas has the Bills at +325 to make the playoffs.

Pete Prisco
Bills ranked 20th "They will be feisty all season long, but they are a year away. I think Josh Allen makes big strides."

ESPN Sim
Bills 8-8
Odds to make the playoffs 20.3%
Power ranking: 26
Beasley will have 100 catches
Easiest schedule in the NFL the first 2 months

Colin Cowherd 7-9

SI
6-10

USA Today
8-8