Wednesday, September 8, 2021

2021 NFL Win Total Predictions: AFC

by steve

NFL preview szn! Recording a podcast later today (our 14th year!) and Ill take a look at props and predictions for the Bills later this week but for now lets predict the over/under win totals for the AFC.

KC Chiefs
12 (vegas line)
Who knows how 17 games is going to shake out this year. Is it more likely the Chiefs lose 4 games or 6? 
Ill take the over.

Balt Ravens 
11
Tough division and the Ravens have a lot of questions swirling arounf
Under.

Buf Bills 
10.5
The division still sucks and the schedule seems easier than last year. Homer pick perhaps? 11-6 seems realistic 
Over.

Indianapolis Colts
10
The division sucks but so does Wentz.
Push

Cleveland Browns
10
Im not entirely sure what world Im living in when I think ten wins for the factory of sadness seems low but here we are.
Over.

Tenny Titans
9.5
Again the division sucks and some how Tannehill and co keep proving the doubters wrong.
Over.

Pittsburgh Steelers
9
Ben aint no Brady and its a real bad sign that everyoje is talking about them running the ball better.
Under.

New England Cheatriots
9
My Mac Jones bias might be at play here but I dont buy this team as a contender. Sure the defense will be better but they were top 10 in points allowed and passing yards allowed. Their problem is offense and a couple of overpaid nobody free agent "weapons" isnt solving their problems.
Under.

Miami Dolphins
9
Flores gonna lose the locker room when Jacoby Brissett comes in and wins a game after Tua gets knocked out then Tua gets tossed back out there in the next game?
Push.

LA Chargers 
9
Sure firing Anthony Lynn adds a few wins to your season total all by itself but 10-7 seems like quite the leap in a division with 4 decent at least teams.
Under.

Las Vegas Raiders
8
Not a believer in Gruden or Carr albeit nobody really is. Nine or ten wins seems highly unlikely.
Under.

Denver Broncos
7.5
Bridgewater is glass and Lock sucks. Oh yeah and Vic Fangio is still some how the coach.
Under

Cincinnati Bengals
6.5
Burrow and co are underrated. Maybe because no one knows where Cincinnati is and they have about 40,000 fans in the country. But 7 wins is doable.
Over.

New York Jets 
6
Tricky with an extra week to get a cheap win but this team isnt getting 5 wins better than last year.
Under.

Jacksonville Jaguars
6
Urban Meyer is a joke. This team could be decent but they arent playing Purdue, Nebraska or Northwestern.
Under.

Houston Texans
5
This team is openly tanking. This number should be 3.
Under.

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