Wednesday, April 24, 2024

2024 NFL Draft Preview Buffalo Bills Part 3

The 2024 draft is tomorrow. 

Here is part 1, the picks and needs

Part 2 random WR takes

And now more misc:

Everyone says this is a deep WR class but is that actually the case? Who the fuck knows but I took a look at the last 4 drafts and a handfull of 7 round mock drafts and came up with these numbers from rounds 1-5:

2023
There were 20 receivers taken in the first 5 rounds. Round by round:
4, 4, 6, 3, 3

2022 
23 receivers drafted rounds 1-5
6, 7, 4, 3, 3

2021
23 receivers drafted rounds 1-5
5, 5, 5, 5, 3

2020
25 receivers drafted rounds 1-5
6, 7, 2, 2, 8

i looked at three 7 round mocks they had an average of 27.3 receivers taken in the first 5 rounds. 

Is that really that much more than the 4 year rolling average? no.

Schefter posted the hit rate or percent of first round positions that signed a second contract with the team that drafted them. Receivers were DFL with only 27% of WRs the last 20 years "hitting" as a first round pick.

Beane better be smart enough to not bet the farm on the 3rd or 4th best WR prospect in round 1.

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